Saturday, May 22, 2010

GDP Reports

Key economic data for the last week of May 2010 starting May 24th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/24/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesApr5.65M5.4M
05/25/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexMar2.8%0.6%
05/25/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceMay58.357.9
05/25/10 10:00 AMFHFA Housing Price IndexMarNA-0.2%
05/26/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersApr1.4%-0.3%
05/26/10 8:30 AMDurable Orders ex TransportationApr0.5%3.5%
05/26/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesApr425411
05/26/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/22NA0.162M
05/27/10 8:30 AMGDP - Second EstimateQ13.3%3.2%
05/27/10 8:30 AMGDP Deflator - Second EstimateQ10.9%0.9%
05/27/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/22455KNA
05/27/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/224600KNA
05/28/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeApr0.4%0.3%
05/28/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingApr0.3%0.6%
05/28/10 8:30 AMPCE Prices - CoreApr0.1%0.1%
05/28/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIMay60.063.8
05/28/10 9:55 AMU. Michigan Consumer SentimentMay73.773.3

Calendar key:
Actual refers to the actual figures after t

Saturday, May 15, 2010

Options Expiration

Key economic data for the third week of May 2010 starting April 17th, 2010. The coming week is an options expiration week. As a rule, during options expiration higher volatility could be expected.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/17/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsFeb40.047.1
05/18/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsApr680K680K
05/18/10 8:30 AMCore PPIApr0.1%0.1%
05/18/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsApr656K626K
05/18/10 8:30 AMPPIApr0.1%0.7%
05/19/10 8:30 AMCore CPIApr0.0%0.0%
05/19/10 8:30 AMCPIApr0.1%0.1%
05/19/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/15NA1.95M
05/20/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/154600K4627K
05/20/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/15440K444K
05/20/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsApr0.2%1.4%
05/20/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedMay21.320.2

Calendar key:
Actual refers to the actual figures after their release.

Saturday, May 8, 2010

Export/Import

Key economic data for the second week of May 2010 starting May 11th, 2010. There are no economic reports on Monday May 10, 2010

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/11/10 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesMar0.5%0.6%
05/12/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetApr-$20.0B-$20.9B
05/12/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceMar-$40.0B-$39.7B
05/12/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/08NA2.75M
05/13/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/084590K4594K
05/13/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/08440K444K
05/13/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.AprNA0.6%
05/13/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilAprNA0.2%
05/14/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesApr0.2%1.9%
05/14/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoApr0.5%0.9%
05/14/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationApr73.8%73.2%
05/14/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionApr0.6%0.1%
05/14/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentMay73.572.2
05/14/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesMar0.4%0.5%

Saturday, May 1, 2010

Auto and Truck Sales Report on Monday

Key economic data for the First week of May 2010 starting may 3rd, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/03/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesApr4.2M4.3M
05/03/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesApr4.6M4.8M
05/03/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeMar0.3%0.0%
05/03/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingMar0.6%0.3%
05/03/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingMar-0.3%-1.3%
05/03/10 10:00 AMISM IndexApr60.059.6
05/04/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersMar-0.2%0.6%
05/04/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesMar5.0%8.2%
05/05/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeApr30K-23K
05/05/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesApr56.155.4
05/05/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/01NA1.96M
05/06/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/014600K4645K
05/06/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/01440K448K
05/06/10 8:30 AMProductivity-PrelQ12.4%6.9%
05/07/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditMar-$3.9B-$11.5B
05/07/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateApr9.7%9.7%
05/07/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsApr187K162K
05/07/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekApr34.034.0
05/07/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsApr0.1%-0.1%

Saturday, April 24, 2010

Consumer Confidence

Key economic data for the last week of April 2010 starting April 27th, 2010. There are no economic reports on April 26th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
04/27/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city Index (y/y)Feb1.1%-0.7%
04/27/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceApr53.752.5
04/28/10 2:15 PMFOMC Rate Decision4/280.25%0.25%
04/28/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories04/24NA1.89M
04/29/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims04/174625K4646K
04/29/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims04/24440K456K
04/30/10 8:30 AMGDP-Adv.Q13.2%5.6%
04/30/10 8:30 AMChain Deflator-Adv.Q10.9%0.5%
04/30/10 8:30 AMEmployment Cost IndexQ10.5%0.5%
04/30/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIApr59.858.8
04/30/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentApr71.569.5

Saturday, April 17, 2010

New Home Sales

Key economic data for the third week of April 2010 starting April 19th, 2010. The coming week is not rich on economic reports.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
04/19/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsMar1.0%0.1%
04/21/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories04/17NA-2.20M
04/22/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims04/17455K484K
04/22/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims04/104600K4639K
04/22/10 8:30 AMPPIMar0.5%-0.6%
04/22/10 8:30 AMCore PPIMar0.1%0.1%
04/22/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesMar5.30M5.02M
04/22/10 10:00 AMFHFA Home Price IndexFeb-0.2%-0.6%
04/23/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersMar0.2%0.9%
04/23/10 8:30 AMDurable Orders ex autoMar0.6%1.4%
04/23/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesMar325K308K

Saturday, April 10, 2010

Beige Book

Key economic data for the second week of April 2010 starting April 12th, 2010. The coming week is not rich on economic reports. Next week is an options expiration week.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
04/12/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetMar$67.5B-$191.6B
04/13/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.MarNA-0.2%
04/13/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilMarNA0.2%
04/13/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceFeb-$39.0B-$37.3B
04/14/10 2:00 PMFed's Beige BookAprNANA
04/14/10 8:30 AMCPIMar0.1%0.0%
04/14/10 8:30 AMCore CPIMar0.1%0.1%
04/14/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesMar1.1%0.3%
04/14/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoMar0.5%0.8%
04/14/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesFeb0.3%0.0%
04/14/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories04/10NA1.98M
04/15/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims04/034600K4550K
04/15/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims04/10440K460K
04/15/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsJanNA$19.1B
04/15/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationMar73.3%72.7%
04/15/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionMar0.7%0.1%
04/15/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedApr20.018.9
04/16/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsMar626K637K
04/16/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsMar610K575K
04/16/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentApr75.073.6

Friday, April 2, 2010

FOMC Meeting

Key economic data for the first week week of April 2010 starting April 5th, 2010. The coming week is not rich on economic reports.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
04/05/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesMar53.650.0
04/05/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesFeb-1.0%-7.6%
04/06/10 2:00 PMMinutes of FOMC Meeting
04/07/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditFeb$1.6B$5.0B
04/07/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories04/03NA2.93M
04/08/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims03/27NA4662K
04/08/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims04/03433K439K
04/09/10 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesFeb0.3%-0.1%

Sunday, March 28, 2010

Income, Emplyment and consumer Confidence

Key economic data for the last week of March and first week of April 2010 starting March 29th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/29/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeFeb0.1%0.1%
03/29/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingFeb0.3%0.5%
03/29/10 8:30 AMPCE Prices - CoreFeb0.1%0.0%
03/30/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexJan-0.6%-3.1%
03/30/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceMar50.046.0
03/31/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeMar40K-20K
03/31/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIMar61.062.6
03/31/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersFeb0.5%1.7%
03/31/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/27NA7.25M
04/01/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesMarNA3.7M
04/01/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesMarNA4.2M
04/01/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims03/204600K4648K
04/01/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/27440K442K
04/01/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingFeb-1.0%-0.6%
04/01/10 10:00 AMISM IndexMar57.056.5
04/02/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsMar190K-36K
04/02/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateMar9.7%9.7%
04/02/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekMar33.933.8
04/02/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsMar0.2%0.1%

Saturday, March 20, 2010

Home Sales

Key economic data for the forth week of March 2010 starting March 23rd, 2010. There are no economic news on Monday March 22nd, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/23/10 10:00 AM Existing Home SalesFeb5.00M5.05M
03/23/10 10:00 AMFHFA Home Price IndexJan-0.9%-1.6%
03/24/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersFeb0.5%2.6%
03/24/10 8:30 AMDurable Orders ex AutoFeb0.5%-1.0%
03/24/10 10:00 AM New Home SalesFeb315K309K
03/24/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/20NA1.01M
03/25/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims03/134560K4579K
03/25/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/20450K457K
03/26/10 8:30 AMGDP - Third EstimateQ45.9%5.9
03/26/10 8:30 AMGDP Deflator - Third EstimateQ40.4%0.4%
03/26/10 9:55 AMMichigan Sentiment - FinalMar73.072.5

Sunday, March 14, 2010

Philadelphia Fed Index

Philadelphia Fed Index is tracked by the Philadelphia Federal-Reserve Bank (headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania) and is based on the survey of voluntary participants regarding the direction of change in their overall business activities. This is a regional survey and it covers the Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware regions. The survey measures regional manufacturing growth and covers answer on such questions as employment, new orders, shipments, inventories, prices paid, etc.

The Fed report is one of the most watched reports and one of the most respected of all the regional purchasing manager reports. The Philadelphia Fed Index above zero indicates factory-sector growth, and the Philadelphia Fed Index below zero indicates contraction.

The Philadelphia Fed Index  (also known as the "Business Outlook Survey") is published on monthly basis on the third Thursday of the month and it is considered to be a good barometer of general business conditions.

Saturday, March 13, 2010

Triple Witching Week

Key economic data for the third  week of March 2010 starting March 15th, 2010. On Friday March 19, 2010 we have expiration of options. This week know as Triple Witching week, as options, index options and futures will expire during this week.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/15/10 8:30 AMEmpire Manufacturing SurveyMar21.4524.91
03/15/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsDec$50.0B$63.3B
03/15/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationFeb72.6%72.6%
03/15/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionFeb0.0%0.9%
03/16/10 2:15 PMFOMC Rate DecisionMar 160.25%0.25%
03/16/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsFeb602K622K
03/16/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsFeb570K591K
03/16/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilFebNA0.4%
03/16/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.FebNA0.7%
03/17/10 8:30 AMCore PPIFeb0.1%0.3%
03/17/10 8:30 AMPPIFeb-0.2%1.4%
03/17/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/13NA1.43M
03/18/10 8:30 AMCore CPIFeb0.1%-0.1%
03/18/10 8:30 AMCPIFeb0.1%0.2%
03/18/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/13450K462K
03/18/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims03/64500K4558K
03/18/10 8:30 AMCurrent Account BalanceQ4-$120.0B-$108.0B
03/18/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsFeb0.1%0.3%
03/18/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedMar18.017.6

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Retail Sales

The Census Bureau releases the Retail Sales data that measure the merchandise sold by companies. The Retailed Sales report is published on monthly basis and is considered as an indicator of the U.S. economy. It includes all retail operations (for cash or credit at retail or wholesale) in the nation, from Wal-Mart to the local bookstore.

The Retail Sales Data measures the amount of goods being sold by establishments primarily engaged in retail trade each month in the United States. It does not include sales at retail by manufacturers, wholesalers, service establishments, and others whose primary activity is other than retail trade.

Saturday, March 6, 2010

Treasury Budget

Key economic data for the second week of March 2010 starting March 8th, 2010. The coming week is not rich on economic reports.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/10/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetFeb-$210.0B-$42.6B
03/10/10 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesJan0.2%-0.8%
03/10/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/06NA4.03M
03/11/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims2/274495K4500K
03/11/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/06460K469K
03/11/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceJan-$41.0B-$40.2B
03/12/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesFeb0.2%0.5%
03/12/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoFeb0.0%0.6%
03/12/10 9:55 AM Mich SentimentMar73.873.6
03/12/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesJan0.2%-0.2%

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Pending Home Sale

In January 2005, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) introduced a new series of reports to overcome the lagging effect of the existing home sales definition. The new report is called Pending Home Sales and is published on monthly basis (first week of the month). The Pending Home Sales data are based on sales of existing homes where the contract has been signed (house was sold on paper) but the transaction has not been closed, which could be considered roughly equivalent to the new home sales. When a home sale contract is sign a broker considers it as a sale and reports it as a sale. However, until transaction is not closed this sale is considered as pending and not closed. Taking into account that some sales contracts are never consummated, pending contract cannot be considered as existing home sale.

The pending Home Sales data are are expressed as an index and were recalculated back to 2001 where the the index has been set to equal 100.0. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) is considered as leading indicator of the activity in the housing market and this index is used to predict Existing Home Sales (Pending becomes Existing in several months) as well as predict actual home sales activity.

Saturday, February 27, 2010

Fed's Beige Book Week

Key economic data for the First week of March 2010 starting March 1st, 2010. Futures, options and index options will expire in March.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeJan0.4%0.4%
03/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingJan0.4%0.2%
03/01/10 8:30 AMPCE Prices - CoreJan0.1%0.1%
03/01/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingJan-0.5%-1.2%
03/01/10 10:00 AMISM IndexFeb57.858.4
03/02/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesFebNA3.8M
03/02/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesFebNA4.4M
03/03/10 2:00 PMFed's Beige BookMarNANA
03/03/10 7:30 AMChallenger Job Cuts YoYFebNA-70.4%
03/03/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeFeb-10K-22K
03/03/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesFeb51.050.5
03/03/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories2/26NA3.03M
03/04/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims02/27475K495K
03/04/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims02/20NA4617K
03/04/10 8:30 AMProductivity-Rev.Q46.2%6.2%
03/04/10 8:30 AMUnit Labor CostsQ4-4.4%-4.4%
03/04/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersJan1.2%1.0%
03/04/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesJan1.7%1.0%
03/05/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditJan-$3.8B-$1.7B
03/05/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateFeb9.8%9.7%
03/05/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsFeb-20K-20K
03/05/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsFeb0.2%0.2%
03/05/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekFeb33.733.9

Saturday, February 20, 2010

New Home Sales

New Home Sales statistics report is published by the United States Census Bureau on monthly basis. The report covers the number of sales of newly constructed residences in the United States of America and is considered as an economical indicator of the economy's health. The new Home Sales numbers are sensitive to the consumer income. As a rule, in growing economy when the consumers average income is growing, the number of newly constructed residences sales is growing. At the same time, a reversal down in New Home Sales report could serve as an early indicator of slow down in the economy and possibility of coming depression. Furthermore, the release of New Home Sales report may have significant impact on Wall Street.

GDP Estimates

Key economic data for the forth week (last week) of February 2010 starting February 23th, 2010. There are no economic reports on Monday February 22nd, 2010. Last week FED announcement of rate increase to 0.75% did not affect the sentiment on the stock market.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
02/23/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexDec-3.1%-5.3%
02/23/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceFeb55.055.9
02/24/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesJan355K342K
02/24/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories2/19NA3.08M
02/25/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims02/20460K473K
02/25/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims02/134570K4563K
02/25/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersJan1.5%0.3%
02/25/10 10:00 AMFHFA Housing Price IndexDecNA0.7&
02/26/10 8:30 AMGDP - Second EstimateQ45.7%5.7%
02/26/10 8:30 AMGDP Deflator - Second EstimateQ40.6%0.6%
02/26/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIFeb59.061.5
02/26/10 9:55 AMU Michigan Consumer Sentiment - FinalFeb74.073.7
02/26/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesJan5.50M5.45M

Sunday, February 14, 2010

Building Permits

The Building Permits is a leading economic indicator tracked by U.S. Census Bureau that is used to track the housing industry. While the statistics is used by local governments and organizations to receive valuable information about local community, the data are used by the Census Bureau for annual creation of population estimates.

The Building Permits (also known as Constructions Permits) Statistics provides construction statistics on new privately-owned residential housing units authorized by building permits. The statistics data include number of buildings, units, and construction cost from new privately-owned residential building permits issued.

These Building Permits Statistics data are updated on monthly basis. In additional annual report is published as well.

The Building Permits statistics usually allows analyze and estimate possible development in the trend (decrease or increase) of construction, employment, financing and even furnishings. Because of that this statistics are often considered as a leading indicator of the economy.

Treasury Budget

Key economic data for the third week (last week) of February 2010 starting February 16th, 2010. This is a short week - only four trading session. On Monday February 15, 2010 the U.S. stock market will be closed due to the President's Day. This week is the options expiration week as well. On Friday February 20, 2010 U.S. February's options will expire. Keep in mind that starting from February 11, 2010 U.S. options have new symbols structure.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
02/16/10 8:30 AM Empire Manufacturing Feb 18.00 15.92
02/16/10 9:00 AM Net Long-Term TIC Flows Dec $50.0B $126.8B
02/17/10 2:00 PM Treasury Budget Jan -$46.0B -$91.9B
02/17/10 2:00 PM Minutes of FOMC Meeting 1/28
02/17/10 8:30 AM Housing Starts Jan 580K 557K
02/17/10 8:30 AM Building Permits Jan 615K 653K
02/17/10 8:30 AM Export Prices ex-ag. Jan NA 0.5%
02/17/10 8:30 AM Import Prices ex-oil Jan NA 0.4%
02/17/10 9:15 AM Industrial Production Jan 0.8% 0.6%
02/17/10 9:15 AM Capacity Utilization Jan 72.6% 72.0%
02/18/10 8:30 AM Continuing Claims 02/6 4500K 4538K
02/18/10 8:30 AM Initial Claims 02/13 430K 440K
02/18/10 8:30 AM PPI Jan 0.8% 0.2%
02/18/10 8:30 AM Core PPI Jan 0.1% 0.0%
02/18/10 10:00 AM Leading Indicators Jan 0.5% 1.1%
02/18/10 10:00 AM Philadelphia Fed Feb 17.0 15.2
02/18/10 11:00 AM Crude Inventories 2/12 NA 2.42M
02/19/10 8:30 AM CPI Jan 0.3% 0.1%
02/19/10 8:30 AM Core CPI Jan 0.2% 0.1%

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Mich Sentiment

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (also known as Mich Sentiment) is almost identical to the Conference Board Consumer Confidence index. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is released twice a month. Preliminary release is scheduled at 10:00 ET on the second Friday of the month, and final release is scheduled at 10:00 ET on the fourth Friday of the month. The same as Conference Board index, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index has two sub-indexes which cover expectations and current conditions. The expectations sub-index is used as a component of the Conference Board's Leading Indicators index.

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is considered one of the foremost indicators of US consumer sentiment. The Consumer Sentiment Index has valued for its quick turnarounds. As a rule falling economy is accompanied by declining in consumer confidence levels and falling sentiment index is considered as an early indicator of an economic downturn.

Friday, February 5, 2010

Retail Sales

Key economic data for the second week of February 2010 starting February 8th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
02/09/10 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesDec0.6%1.5%
02/10/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetJan-$60.0B-$91.9B
02/10/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceDec-$35.0B-$36.4B
02/10/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories2/5NA2.32M
02/11/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims02/06NANA
02/11/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims02/06NANA
02/11/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesJan0.4%-0.3%
02/11/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoJan0.4%-0.2%
02/11/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesDec0.4%0.4%
02/12/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentFeb74.874.4

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Construction Spending

The "Construction Spending" report is issued by the United States Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce on a monthly basis at 10:00 EST n the first business day of the month.

The "Construction Spending" reports covers data for two prior month and is broken down between residential, non-residential, and public expenditures on new construction.

The U.S. Commerce Department calculations of the amount of spending on residential and non-residential construction is an important factor in the housing market and is used as a component of quarterly GDP calculations. Even the "Construction Spending" report is considered to be important, as a rule, it rarely has any impact on the market. Due to the high volatility in monthly numbers three-month and longer-term data are considered significant.

Saturday, January 30, 2010

Sales and Labor

Key economic data for the first week of February 2010 starting February 2nd, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
02/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeDec0.3%0.4%
02/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingDec0.3%0.5%
02/01/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingDec-0.5%-0.6%
02/01/10 10:00 AMISM IndexJan55.255.9
02/02/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesJanNA4.14M
02/02/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesJanNA4.49M
02/02/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesDec1.1%-16.0%
02/03/10 7:30 AMChallenger Job CutsJanNA-72.9%
02/03/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeJan-40K-84K
02/03/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesJan50.950.1
02/03/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/29NA-3.89M
02/04/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/30454K470K
02/04/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims01/304600K4602K
02/04/10 8:30 AMProductivity-PrelQ46.0%8.1%
02/04/10 8:30 AMUnit Labor Costs - PreliminaryQ4-2.5%-2.5%
02/04/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersDec0.6%1.1%
02/05/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditDec-$9.5B-$17.5B
02/05/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsJan13K-85K
02/05/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateJan10.0%10.0%
02/05/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekJan33.233.2
02/05/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsJan0.2%0.2%

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Existing-Home Sales

The Existing-Home Sales statistics report is published by the United States National Association of Realtors (NAR) and is the premier measurement of the residential real estate market. The existing homes (as defined by the National Association of Realtors) are all previously-owned single-family homes, townhouses, condominiums, and co-ops. The Existing-Home Sales report is published on monthly basis on or about the 25th. The report releases statistics on sales and prices of existing single-family homes. The statistics is released for the nation as well as for the four main regions. On February 25, 2005,  in addition to single-family homes, the National Association of Realtors added condos and co-ops to this statistics report. At the same time on quarterly basis the NAR publishes state-by-state existing-home sales and metro area home prices report.

Existing-Home Sales is considered as an economic indicator of both the number and prices of existing single-family homes, condos and co-op sales over a one-month period. It is a lagging indicator as it tends to react after a change in mortgage rates. This indicator is thought to be a good measure of demand in the real-estate sector, yet, it does not look at newly built houses or the sale of new houses.

Week of Home Sale Reports

Key economic data for the forth week (last week) of January 2010 starting January 25th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/25/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesDec5.90M6.54M
01/26/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexNov-5.00%-7.28%
01/26/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceJan53.553.3
01/26/10 10:00 AMFHFA Home Price IndexNov0.1%0.6%
01/27/10 2:15 PMFOMC Rate Decision1/270.25%0.25%
01/27/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesDec370K355K
01/27/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/22NA-0.471M
01/28/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/23450K482K
01/28/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims01/164600K4599K
01/28/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersDec2.0%0.2%
01/29/10 8:30 AMGDP-Adv.Q44.6%2.2%
01/29/10 8:30 AMChain Deflator-Adv.Q41.3%0.4%
01/29/10 8:30 AMEmployment Cost IndexQ40.4%0.4%
01/29/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIJan57.458.7
01/29/10 9:55 AMUniversity of Michigan SentimentJan73.072.8

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Housing Starts

Housing starts is the number tracked and reported by United States Census
Bureau which reflect privately owned new houses (technically housing units) on
which construction has been started in a given period. The Housing Starts data
is divided into three types:

  • Single-family houses;
  • Townhouses or small condos;
  • Apartment buildings with five or more units.

In case of the apartments each unit is considered a single start.
Furthermore, the construction of a 60-unit apartment building is counted as 60
housing starts.

Home Buildings and Sales

Key economic data for the third week of January 2010 starting January 19th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/19/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsNov$27.5B$20.7B
01/20/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsDec580K584K
01/20/10 8:30 AMCore PPIDec0.1%0.5%
01/20/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsDec575K574K
01/20/10 8:30 AMPPIDec0.0%1.8%
01/21/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/16440K444K
01/21/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims1/094600K4596K
01/21/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsDec0.7%0.9%
01/21/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedJan18.820.4
01/21/10 11:00 AMCrude Inventories1/15NA3.70M

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Straddle Trading

One of the ways of using economic reports, financial news and earning releases is using them in straddle trading. Straddle trading is an options trading strategy that involves simultaneous buying put and call options with the same strike price - the most common way is to use ATM (at-the-money) options.

Straddle trading provides a unique opportunity to profit from options trading no matter where the market goes. However, in order a straddle to be profitable, an underlying stock has to make big move.

As a rule earning release, FED announcements and other scheduled financial and economic reports could be used to expect such big moves and increased volatility. Right after the economic releases you may see sudden increase in volatility and as result, there a possibility that if a stock makes a strong move up the call options will gain in value more than the put options lose in their value. Respectfully, following economic news release, the strong down move may result in the put options gain would out-beating the call options loss.

Friday, January 8, 2010

Export an Import

Key economic data for the Second week of January 2010 starting January 11th, 2010. This week is options expiration week. January 2010 options will expire on Friday, January 15, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/12/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceNov-$34.5B-$32.9B
01/13/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetDec-$92.0B-$120.3B
01/13/10 2:00 PMFed's Beige Book
01/13/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/08NA1.33M
01/14/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/09433K434K
01/14/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims1/24800K4802K
01/14/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesDec0.5%1.3%
01/14/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoDec0.3%1.2%
01/14/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.DecNA0.7%
01/14/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilDecNA0.4%
01/14/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesNov0.2%0.2%
01/15/10 8:30 AMCore CPIDec0.1%0.0%
01/15/10 8:30 AMCPIDec0.2%0.4%
01/15/10 8:30 AMEmpire Manufacturing SurveyJan11.252.55
01/15/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationDec71.8%71.3%
01/15/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionDec0.6%0.8%
01/15/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentJan73.872.5