Sunday, January 31, 2010

Construction Spending

The "Construction Spending" report is issued by the United States Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce on a monthly basis at 10:00 EST n the first business day of the month.

The "Construction Spending" reports covers data for two prior month and is broken down between residential, non-residential, and public expenditures on new construction.

The U.S. Commerce Department calculations of the amount of spending on residential and non-residential construction is an important factor in the housing market and is used as a component of quarterly GDP calculations. Even the "Construction Spending" report is considered to be important, as a rule, it rarely has any impact on the market. Due to the high volatility in monthly numbers three-month and longer-term data are considered significant.

Saturday, January 30, 2010

Sales and Labor

Key economic data for the first week of February 2010 starting February 2nd, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
02/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeDec0.3%0.4%
02/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingDec0.3%0.5%
02/01/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingDec-0.5%-0.6%
02/01/10 10:00 AMISM IndexJan55.255.9
02/02/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesJanNA4.14M
02/02/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesJanNA4.49M
02/02/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesDec1.1%-16.0%
02/03/10 7:30 AMChallenger Job CutsJanNA-72.9%
02/03/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeJan-40K-84K
02/03/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesJan50.950.1
02/03/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/29NA-3.89M
02/04/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/30454K470K
02/04/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims01/304600K4602K
02/04/10 8:30 AMProductivity-PrelQ46.0%8.1%
02/04/10 8:30 AMUnit Labor Costs - PreliminaryQ4-2.5%-2.5%
02/04/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersDec0.6%1.1%
02/05/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditDec-$9.5B-$17.5B
02/05/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsJan13K-85K
02/05/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateJan10.0%10.0%
02/05/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekJan33.233.2
02/05/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsJan0.2%0.2%

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Existing-Home Sales

The Existing-Home Sales statistics report is published by the United States National Association of Realtors (NAR) and is the premier measurement of the residential real estate market. The existing homes (as defined by the National Association of Realtors) are all previously-owned single-family homes, townhouses, condominiums, and co-ops. The Existing-Home Sales report is published on monthly basis on or about the 25th. The report releases statistics on sales and prices of existing single-family homes. The statistics is released for the nation as well as for the four main regions. On February 25, 2005,  in addition to single-family homes, the National Association of Realtors added condos and co-ops to this statistics report. At the same time on quarterly basis the NAR publishes state-by-state existing-home sales and metro area home prices report.

Existing-Home Sales is considered as an economic indicator of both the number and prices of existing single-family homes, condos and co-op sales over a one-month period. It is a lagging indicator as it tends to react after a change in mortgage rates. This indicator is thought to be a good measure of demand in the real-estate sector, yet, it does not look at newly built houses or the sale of new houses.

Week of Home Sale Reports

Key economic data for the forth week (last week) of January 2010 starting January 25th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/25/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesDec5.90M6.54M
01/26/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexNov-5.00%-7.28%
01/26/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceJan53.553.3
01/26/10 10:00 AMFHFA Home Price IndexNov0.1%0.6%
01/27/10 2:15 PMFOMC Rate Decision1/270.25%0.25%
01/27/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesDec370K355K
01/27/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/22NA-0.471M
01/28/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/23450K482K
01/28/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims01/164600K4599K
01/28/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersDec2.0%0.2%
01/29/10 8:30 AMGDP-Adv.Q44.6%2.2%
01/29/10 8:30 AMChain Deflator-Adv.Q41.3%0.4%
01/29/10 8:30 AMEmployment Cost IndexQ40.4%0.4%
01/29/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIJan57.458.7
01/29/10 9:55 AMUniversity of Michigan SentimentJan73.072.8

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Housing Starts

Housing starts is the number tracked and reported by United States Census
Bureau which reflect privately owned new houses (technically housing units) on
which construction has been started in a given period. The Housing Starts data
is divided into three types:

  • Single-family houses;
  • Townhouses or small condos;
  • Apartment buildings with five or more units.

In case of the apartments each unit is considered a single start.
Furthermore, the construction of a 60-unit apartment building is counted as 60
housing starts.

Home Buildings and Sales

Key economic data for the third week of January 2010 starting January 19th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/19/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsNov$27.5B$20.7B
01/20/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsDec580K584K
01/20/10 8:30 AMCore PPIDec0.1%0.5%
01/20/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsDec575K574K
01/20/10 8:30 AMPPIDec0.0%1.8%
01/21/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/16440K444K
01/21/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims1/094600K4596K
01/21/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsDec0.7%0.9%
01/21/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedJan18.820.4
01/21/10 11:00 AMCrude Inventories1/15NA3.70M

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Straddle Trading

One of the ways of using economic reports, financial news and earning releases is using them in straddle trading. Straddle trading is an options trading strategy that involves simultaneous buying put and call options with the same strike price - the most common way is to use ATM (at-the-money) options.

Straddle trading provides a unique opportunity to profit from options trading no matter where the market goes. However, in order a straddle to be profitable, an underlying stock has to make big move.

As a rule earning release, FED announcements and other scheduled financial and economic reports could be used to expect such big moves and increased volatility. Right after the economic releases you may see sudden increase in volatility and as result, there a possibility that if a stock makes a strong move up the call options will gain in value more than the put options lose in their value. Respectfully, following economic news release, the strong down move may result in the put options gain would out-beating the call options loss.

Friday, January 8, 2010

Export an Import

Key economic data for the Second week of January 2010 starting January 11th, 2010. This week is options expiration week. January 2010 options will expire on Friday, January 15, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/12/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceNov-$34.5B-$32.9B
01/13/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetDec-$92.0B-$120.3B
01/13/10 2:00 PMFed's Beige Book
01/13/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/08NA1.33M
01/14/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/09433K434K
01/14/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims1/24800K4802K
01/14/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesDec0.5%1.3%
01/14/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoDec0.3%1.2%
01/14/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.DecNA0.7%
01/14/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilDecNA0.4%
01/14/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesNov0.2%0.2%
01/15/10 8:30 AMCore CPIDec0.1%0.0%
01/15/10 8:30 AMCPIDec0.2%0.4%
01/15/10 8:30 AMEmpire Manufacturing SurveyJan11.252.55
01/15/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationDec71.8%71.3%
01/15/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionDec0.6%0.8%
01/15/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentJan73.872.5