Sunday, September 4, 2011

How to bring unemployment down.

There is no doubt that unemployment is one of the most popular topics in the media at the current moment. No wonder, as unemployment remains at high level since the stock market crash in 2008. Whatever the Government does (actually they have done nothing), nothing seems to reduce the number of people without work. If the Government expects that the corporation start opening working places (at least that is their explanation why the corporation should not be taxed) then I could only say THEY ARE WRONG or they think that the people are stupid. A corporation does not need extra expenses, and there is no stimulus for them to open working places in the USA until it is more profitable for them to do it oversea. That is why majority of them moved their customer support to India and China, that is why more and more "made in China" and "made in India" and less and less "made in USA" could be seen on the shelves in our stores. To tell us that if we do not tax the corporation they will have more money (they already have billions) and they will think about expansion and creating work for Americans is keeping us for idiots. We have to tax them and the taxes should be strict.

My proposal - pass it to those who you voted for if you like it:

1. If  more than 20% of corporation's expenses are over-sea's expenses (whatever the expenses are: supplies, customer support, development, etc) than this corporation  has to pay additional 15% tax not from the profit but from the overall over-sea's expenses.

This will make the corporation to think where to expend their business and will make small and medium businesses stronger and more competitive to the big corporations.

2. The exemption from the p.1 are  the companies that has more than 50% of profit coming from export (companies that deal with natural resources, oil, mining and other companies should not be covered by this exemption).

We need to balance import/export and we need t protect those who export.

3. A company that show grows in the number of employees (not over-sea's employees) that worked more than 1 year in this company is entitled for the tax deduction (max 5%)The companies that deal with natural resources, oil, mining and other companies should not be covered by this exemption).

It should definitely attract the companies, small and big to open new working places and make it easier for them to invest the money they have into the company’s expansions.

4. VERY IMPORTANT - The companies which are involved into the extraction of natural resources (oil, gas, lumber, mining, and etc) should pay extra 5% of taxes. The 5% should be calculated from the average yearly market value of extracted resources.

This is very important. The natural resources are not eternal. Sooner or later they will be gone. The natural resources that are on the American territory belong to the Americans and should not be taken for granted. As an example:, If average yearly price of one gallon of oil is $1 on the stock market and the oil company extracted 1 billion gallons of oil over the year, then this company has to pay additional $50 millions (5% from 1 billion times $1) for the extracted natural resources.

I could add more points, but I think it is enough for you to start thinking.

Do you think if we would have such policies it would increase the revenue, it would help with trade balance and it would reduce the unemployment?

If your answer is yes, and you like it then 


SHARE IT
and Pass it to those who you voted for and those who you are going to vote for

Saturday, July 23, 2011

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Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Unemployment

Consumer confidence dropped to the seven's month low while the consumer spending has hit ten months high. I was always under impression that consumers supposed to spend less when they are less confident, and they usually spend more when they more confident.

I would say that overall we have good economic reports. Almost all current bad economic data (excluding unemployment) are narrowed to the point that they are actually positive and are better than before, yet the press tells us that investors would be happier if economic reports would be better. So far, we do not see any points to the dramatic bankruptcies of stock market giants which suggest that overall stock market is quite healthy.

Unemployment is an another story. With growing technology it is obvious that on many working places functions and procedures previously performed by humans are now performed by robots and computers. 2008 recession has pushed many companies to lay off employees and many of these companies have found that they could achieve the same productivity with less human resources. Keep in min that company will always prefer to have more robotus and computerized technologies which means less expenses, less trouble with unions, etc. Because of that, we should expect to see unemployment at the same level for a while (on mine opinion). The public companies and stock market will be "ok" with it.

Sunday, June 5, 2011

Case-Shriller Index

The Standard & Poor's Case-Shriller U.S. National Home Price Index is updated on the monthly basis on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 AM ET and is a composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions. The Case-Shriller consists of 20 metropolitan area indices and two composite indices. The index is based on single-family home re-sales ( co-ops and condominiums are exempted as is new construction) with two or more sales transactions and is used to measure changes in existing home prices. The Case-Shriller index is normalized to have a value of 100 in January 2000.

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Financial Analysis

Analysis of the financial reports has become quite popular among intraday traders. The fact that in many cases we may see increased volatility on the indexes (S&P 500, Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, DJI, and etc) has attracted futures and options traders. Simple trading strategy of placing options spreads bet before an economic report release helps to achieve desired result.

In order to properly make a call (place a trade) a trader needs several things: a) history of the index behavior during previous similar economic reports; b) expected economic data for coming reports; c: real time index charts with volume. You need to watch volume on the indexes as increase in volume would confirm volatile trading in response on report's release.

Saturday, May 22, 2010

GDP Reports

Key economic data for the last week of May 2010 starting May 24th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/24/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesApr5.65M5.4M
05/25/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexMar2.8%0.6%
05/25/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceMay58.357.9
05/25/10 10:00 AMFHFA Housing Price IndexMarNA-0.2%
05/26/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersApr1.4%-0.3%
05/26/10 8:30 AMDurable Orders ex TransportationApr0.5%3.5%
05/26/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesApr425411
05/26/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/22NA0.162M
05/27/10 8:30 AMGDP - Second EstimateQ13.3%3.2%
05/27/10 8:30 AMGDP Deflator - Second EstimateQ10.9%0.9%
05/27/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/22455KNA
05/27/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/224600KNA
05/28/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeApr0.4%0.3%
05/28/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingApr0.3%0.6%
05/28/10 8:30 AMPCE Prices - CoreApr0.1%0.1%
05/28/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIMay60.063.8
05/28/10 9:55 AMU. Michigan Consumer SentimentMay73.773.3

Calendar key:
Actual refers to the actual figures after t

Saturday, May 15, 2010

Options Expiration

Key economic data for the third week of May 2010 starting April 17th, 2010. The coming week is an options expiration week. As a rule, during options expiration higher volatility could be expected.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/17/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsFeb40.047.1
05/18/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsApr680K680K
05/18/10 8:30 AMCore PPIApr0.1%0.1%
05/18/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsApr656K626K
05/18/10 8:30 AMPPIApr0.1%0.7%
05/19/10 8:30 AMCore CPIApr0.0%0.0%
05/19/10 8:30 AMCPIApr0.1%0.1%
05/19/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/15NA1.95M
05/20/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/154600K4627K
05/20/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/15440K444K
05/20/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsApr0.2%1.4%
05/20/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedMay21.320.2

Calendar key:
Actual refers to the actual figures after their release.

Saturday, May 8, 2010

Export/Import

Key economic data for the second week of May 2010 starting May 11th, 2010. There are no economic reports on Monday May 10, 2010

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/11/10 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesMar0.5%0.6%
05/12/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetApr-$20.0B-$20.9B
05/12/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceMar-$40.0B-$39.7B
05/12/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/08NA2.75M
05/13/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/084590K4594K
05/13/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/08440K444K
05/13/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.AprNA0.6%
05/13/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilAprNA0.2%
05/14/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesApr0.2%1.9%
05/14/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoApr0.5%0.9%
05/14/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationApr73.8%73.2%
05/14/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionApr0.6%0.1%
05/14/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentMay73.572.2
05/14/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesMar0.4%0.5%

Saturday, May 1, 2010

Auto and Truck Sales Report on Monday

Key economic data for the First week of May 2010 starting may 3rd, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
05/03/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesApr4.2M4.3M
05/03/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesApr4.6M4.8M
05/03/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeMar0.3%0.0%
05/03/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingMar0.6%0.3%
05/03/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingMar-0.3%-1.3%
05/03/10 10:00 AMISM IndexApr60.059.6
05/04/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersMar-0.2%0.6%
05/04/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesMar5.0%8.2%
05/05/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeApr30K-23K
05/05/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesApr56.155.4
05/05/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories05/01NA1.96M
05/06/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims05/014600K4645K
05/06/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims05/01440K448K
05/06/10 8:30 AMProductivity-PrelQ12.4%6.9%
05/07/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditMar-$3.9B-$11.5B
05/07/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateApr9.7%9.7%
05/07/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsApr187K162K
05/07/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekApr34.034.0
05/07/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsApr0.1%-0.1%

Saturday, April 24, 2010

Consumer Confidence

Key economic data for the last week of April 2010 starting April 27th, 2010. There are no economic reports on April 26th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
04/27/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city Index (y/y)Feb1.1%-0.7%
04/27/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceApr53.752.5
04/28/10 2:15 PMFOMC Rate Decision4/280.25%0.25%
04/28/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories04/24NA1.89M
04/29/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims04/174625K4646K
04/29/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims04/24440K456K
04/30/10 8:30 AMGDP-Adv.Q13.2%5.6%
04/30/10 8:30 AMChain Deflator-Adv.Q10.9%0.5%
04/30/10 8:30 AMEmployment Cost IndexQ10.5%0.5%
04/30/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIApr59.858.8
04/30/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentApr71.569.5