Sunday, January 24, 2010

Week of Home Sale Reports

Key economic data for the forth week (last week) of January 2010 starting January 25th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/25/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesDec5.90M6.54M
01/26/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexNov-5.00%-7.28%
01/26/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceJan53.553.3
01/26/10 10:00 AMFHFA Home Price IndexNov0.1%0.6%
01/27/10 2:15 PMFOMC Rate Decision1/270.25%0.25%
01/27/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesDec370K355K
01/27/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/22NA-0.471M
01/28/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/23450K482K
01/28/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims01/164600K4599K
01/28/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersDec2.0%0.2%
01/29/10 8:30 AMGDP-Adv.Q44.6%2.2%
01/29/10 8:30 AMChain Deflator-Adv.Q41.3%0.4%
01/29/10 8:30 AMEmployment Cost IndexQ40.4%0.4%
01/29/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIJan57.458.7
01/29/10 9:55 AMUniversity of Michigan SentimentJan73.072.8

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Housing Starts

Housing starts is the number tracked and reported by United States Census
Bureau which reflect privately owned new houses (technically housing units) on
which construction has been started in a given period. The Housing Starts data
is divided into three types:

  • Single-family houses;
  • Townhouses or small condos;
  • Apartment buildings with five or more units.

In case of the apartments each unit is considered a single start.
Furthermore, the construction of a 60-unit apartment building is counted as 60
housing starts.

Home Buildings and Sales

Key economic data for the third week of January 2010 starting January 19th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/19/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsNov$27.5B$20.7B
01/20/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsDec580K584K
01/20/10 8:30 AMCore PPIDec0.1%0.5%
01/20/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsDec575K574K
01/20/10 8:30 AMPPIDec0.0%1.8%
01/21/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/16440K444K
01/21/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims1/094600K4596K
01/21/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsDec0.7%0.9%
01/21/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedJan18.820.4
01/21/10 11:00 AMCrude Inventories1/15NA3.70M

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Straddle Trading

One of the ways of using economic reports, financial news and earning releases is using them in straddle trading. Straddle trading is an options trading strategy that involves simultaneous buying put and call options with the same strike price - the most common way is to use ATM (at-the-money) options.

Straddle trading provides a unique opportunity to profit from options trading no matter where the market goes. However, in order a straddle to be profitable, an underlying stock has to make big move.

As a rule earning release, FED announcements and other scheduled financial and economic reports could be used to expect such big moves and increased volatility. Right after the economic releases you may see sudden increase in volatility and as result, there a possibility that if a stock makes a strong move up the call options will gain in value more than the put options lose in their value. Respectfully, following economic news release, the strong down move may result in the put options gain would out-beating the call options loss.

Friday, January 8, 2010

Export an Import

Key economic data for the Second week of January 2010 starting January 11th, 2010. This week is options expiration week. January 2010 options will expire on Friday, January 15, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/12/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceNov-$34.5B-$32.9B
01/13/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetDec-$92.0B-$120.3B
01/13/10 2:00 PMFed's Beige Book
01/13/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories1/08NA1.33M
01/14/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/09433K434K
01/14/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims1/24800K4802K
01/14/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesDec0.5%1.3%
01/14/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoDec0.3%1.2%
01/14/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.DecNA0.7%
01/14/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilDecNA0.4%
01/14/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesNov0.2%0.2%
01/15/10 8:30 AMCore CPIDec0.1%0.0%
01/15/10 8:30 AMCPIDec0.2%0.4%
01/15/10 8:30 AMEmpire Manufacturing SurveyJan11.252.55
01/15/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationDec71.8%71.3%
01/15/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionDec0.6%0.8%
01/15/10 9:55 AMMich SentimentJan73.872.5

Thursday, December 31, 2009

Employment and Uneployment

Key economic data for the First week of January 2010 starting January 4th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
01/04/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingNov-0.5%0.0%
01/04/10 10:00 AMISM IndexDec54.053.6
01/05/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesDecNA3.8M
01/05/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesDecNA4.6M
01/05/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersNov0.5%0.6%
01/05/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesNov-3.0%3.7%
01/06/10 7:30 AMChallenger Job CutsDecNA-72.3%
01/06/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ReportDec-75K-169K
01/06/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesDec50.548.7
01/06/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories12/31NA-1.54M
01/07/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims01/02445K432K
01/07/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims12/265040K4981K
01/08/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditNov-$5.0B-$3.5B
01/08/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekDec33.233.2
01/08/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsDec0.2%0.1%
01/08/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsDec0K-11K
01/08/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateDec10.1%10.0%
01/08/10 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesNov-0.3%0.3%

Sunday, December 27, 2009

Last week of 2009

Key economic data for the last week of December 2009 starting December 28th, 2009.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
12/29/09 9:00 AMCaseShiller 20 CityOct-7.30%-9.36%
12/29/09 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceDec53.049.5
12/30/09 9:45 AMChicago PMIDec55.156.1
12/30/09 10:30 AMCrude Inventories12/25NA-4.84M
12/31/09 8:30 AMInitial Claims12/26465K452K
12/31/09 8:30 AMContinuing Claims12/19NA5076K

Friday, December 18, 2009

GDP and Housing

Key economic data for the Forth week of December 2009 starting December 21th, 2009.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.
DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
12/22/09 8:30 AMGDP - Third EstimateQ32.8%2.8%
12/22/09 8:30 AMGDP Prices - Third EstimateQ30.5%0.5%
12/22/09 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesNov6.25M6.10M
12/23/09 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeNov0.5%0.2%
12/23/09 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingNov0.7%0.7%
12/23/09 8:30 AMPCE PricesNov1.6%0.2%
12/23/09 8:30 AMPCE Prices - CoreNov0.1%0.2%
12/23/09 9:55 AMMich Sentiment-RevDec73.773.4
12/23/09 10:00 AMNew Home SalesNov439K430K
12/23/09 10:30 AMCrude Inventories12/18NA-3.69M
12/24/09 8:30 AMInitial Claims12/19470K480K
12/24/09 8:30 AMContinuing Claims12/125175K5186K
12/24/09 8:30 AMDurable Goods OrdersNov0.5%-0.6%
12/24/09 8:30 AMDurable Goods Orders ex AutoNov1.0%-1.3%

Friday, December 11, 2009

PPI and CPI

Key economic data for the Third week of December 2009 starting December 14th, 2009. Next Friday is "Triple Witching Day" - on that day December's options, index options and futures will expire.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.
DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
12/15/09 8:30 AMCore PPINov0.2%-0.6%
12/15/09 8:30 AMPPINov0.8%0.3%
12/15/09 8:30 AMEmpire ManufacturingDec24.0023.51
12/15/09 9:00 AMNet Long-term TIC FlowsOct$42.3B$40.7B
12/15/09 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationNov71.1%70.7%
12/15/09 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionNov0.5%0.1%
12/16/09 2:15 PMFOMC Rate DecisionDec 160.25%0.25%
12/16/09 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsNov570K552K
12/16/09 8:30 AMHousing StartsNov578K529K
12/16/09 8:30 AMCPINov0.4%0.2%
12/16/09 8:30 AMCore CPINov0.1%0.3%
12/16/09 10:30 AMCrude Inventories12/11NA-3.82M
12/17/09 8:30 AMInitial Claims12/12465K474K
12/17/09 8:30 AMContinuing Claims12/55170K5157K
12/17/09 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsNov0.7%0.3%
12/17/09 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedDec16.016.7

Friday, December 4, 2009

Treasury Budget and Retail Sales

Key economic data for the Second week of December 2009 starting August 17th, 2009.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.
DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
12/07/09 2:00 PMConsumer CreditOct-$9.3B-$14.8B
12/09/09 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesOct-0.6%-0.9%
12/09/09 10:30 AMCrude Inventories12/04NA2.09M
12/10/09 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetNov-$135.0B-$176.4B
12/10/09 8:30 AMInitial Claims12/05NANA
12/10/09 8:30 AMContinuing Claims12/04NANA
12/10/09 8:30 AMTrade BalanceOct-$37.1B-$36.5B
12/11/09 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.NovNA0.3%
12/11/09 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilNovNA0.4%
12/11/09 8:30 AMRetail SalesNov0.5%1.4%
12/11/09 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoNov0.5%0.2%
12/11/09 9:55 AMMich Sentiment-PrelDec68.567.4
12/11/09 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesOct-0.2%-0.4%