Sunday, March 28, 2010

Income, Emplyment and consumer Confidence

Key economic data for the last week of March and first week of April 2010 starting March 29th, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/29/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeFeb0.1%0.1%
03/29/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingFeb0.3%0.5%
03/29/10 8:30 AMPCE Prices - CoreFeb0.1%0.0%
03/30/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexJan-0.6%-3.1%
03/30/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceMar50.046.0
03/31/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeMar40K-20K
03/31/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIMar61.062.6
03/31/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersFeb0.5%1.7%
03/31/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/27NA7.25M
04/01/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesMarNA3.7M
04/01/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesMarNA4.2M
04/01/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims03/204600K4648K
04/01/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/27440K442K
04/01/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingFeb-1.0%-0.6%
04/01/10 10:00 AMISM IndexMar57.056.5
04/02/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsMar190K-36K
04/02/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateMar9.7%9.7%
04/02/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekMar33.933.8
04/02/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsMar0.2%0.1%

Saturday, March 20, 2010

Home Sales

Key economic data for the forth week of March 2010 starting March 23rd, 2010. There are no economic news on Monday March 22nd, 2010.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/23/10 10:00 AM Existing Home SalesFeb5.00M5.05M
03/23/10 10:00 AMFHFA Home Price IndexJan-0.9%-1.6%
03/24/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersFeb0.5%2.6%
03/24/10 8:30 AMDurable Orders ex AutoFeb0.5%-1.0%
03/24/10 10:00 AM New Home SalesFeb315K309K
03/24/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/20NA1.01M
03/25/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims03/134560K4579K
03/25/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/20450K457K
03/26/10 8:30 AMGDP - Third EstimateQ45.9%5.9
03/26/10 8:30 AMGDP Deflator - Third EstimateQ40.4%0.4%
03/26/10 9:55 AMMichigan Sentiment - FinalMar73.072.5

Sunday, March 14, 2010

Philadelphia Fed Index

Philadelphia Fed Index is tracked by the Philadelphia Federal-Reserve Bank (headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania) and is based on the survey of voluntary participants regarding the direction of change in their overall business activities. This is a regional survey and it covers the Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware regions. The survey measures regional manufacturing growth and covers answer on such questions as employment, new orders, shipments, inventories, prices paid, etc.

The Fed report is one of the most watched reports and one of the most respected of all the regional purchasing manager reports. The Philadelphia Fed Index above zero indicates factory-sector growth, and the Philadelphia Fed Index below zero indicates contraction.

The Philadelphia Fed Index  (also known as the "Business Outlook Survey") is published on monthly basis on the third Thursday of the month and it is considered to be a good barometer of general business conditions.

Saturday, March 13, 2010

Triple Witching Week

Key economic data for the third  week of March 2010 starting March 15th, 2010. On Friday March 19, 2010 we have expiration of options. This week know as Triple Witching week, as options, index options and futures will expire during this week.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/15/10 8:30 AMEmpire Manufacturing SurveyMar21.4524.91
03/15/10 9:00 AMNet Long-Term TIC FlowsDec$50.0B$63.3B
03/15/10 9:15 AMCapacity UtilizationFeb72.6%72.6%
03/15/10 9:15 AMIndustrial ProductionFeb0.0%0.9%
03/16/10 2:15 PMFOMC Rate DecisionMar 160.25%0.25%
03/16/10 8:30 AMBuilding PermitsFeb602K622K
03/16/10 8:30 AMHousing StartsFeb570K591K
03/16/10 8:30 AMImport Prices ex-oilFebNA0.4%
03/16/10 8:30 AMExport Prices ex-ag.FebNA0.7%
03/17/10 8:30 AMCore PPIFeb0.1%0.3%
03/17/10 8:30 AMPPIFeb-0.2%1.4%
03/17/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/13NA1.43M
03/18/10 8:30 AMCore CPIFeb0.1%-0.1%
03/18/10 8:30 AMCPIFeb0.1%0.2%
03/18/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/13450K462K
03/18/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims03/64500K4558K
03/18/10 8:30 AMCurrent Account BalanceQ4-$120.0B-$108.0B
03/18/10 10:00 AMLeading IndicatorsFeb0.1%0.3%
03/18/10 10:00 AMPhiladelphia FedMar18.017.6

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Retail Sales

The Census Bureau releases the Retail Sales data that measure the merchandise sold by companies. The Retailed Sales report is published on monthly basis and is considered as an indicator of the U.S. economy. It includes all retail operations (for cash or credit at retail or wholesale) in the nation, from Wal-Mart to the local bookstore.

The Retail Sales Data measures the amount of goods being sold by establishments primarily engaged in retail trade each month in the United States. It does not include sales at retail by manufacturers, wholesalers, service establishments, and others whose primary activity is other than retail trade.

Saturday, March 6, 2010

Treasury Budget

Key economic data for the second week of March 2010 starting March 8th, 2010. The coming week is not rich on economic reports.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/10/10 2:00 PMTreasury BudgetFeb-$210.0B-$42.6B
03/10/10 10:00 AMWholesale InventoriesJan0.2%-0.8%
03/10/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories03/06NA4.03M
03/11/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims2/274495K4500K
03/11/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims03/06460K469K
03/11/10 8:30 AMTrade BalanceJan-$41.0B-$40.2B
03/12/10 8:30 AMRetail SalesFeb0.2%0.5%
03/12/10 8:30 AMRetail Sales ex-autoFeb0.0%0.6%
03/12/10 9:55 AM Mich SentimentMar73.873.6
03/12/10 10:00 AMBusiness InventoriesJan0.2%-0.2%

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Pending Home Sale

In January 2005, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) introduced a new series of reports to overcome the lagging effect of the existing home sales definition. The new report is called Pending Home Sales and is published on monthly basis (first week of the month). The Pending Home Sales data are based on sales of existing homes where the contract has been signed (house was sold on paper) but the transaction has not been closed, which could be considered roughly equivalent to the new home sales. When a home sale contract is sign a broker considers it as a sale and reports it as a sale. However, until transaction is not closed this sale is considered as pending and not closed. Taking into account that some sales contracts are never consummated, pending contract cannot be considered as existing home sale.

The pending Home Sales data are are expressed as an index and were recalculated back to 2001 where the the index has been set to equal 100.0. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) is considered as leading indicator of the activity in the housing market and this index is used to predict Existing Home Sales (Pending becomes Existing in several months) as well as predict actual home sales activity.

Saturday, February 27, 2010

Fed's Beige Book Week

Key economic data for the First week of March 2010 starting March 1st, 2010. Futures, options and index options will expire in March.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
03/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal IncomeJan0.4%0.4%
03/01/10 8:30 AMPersonal SpendingJan0.4%0.2%
03/01/10 8:30 AMPCE Prices - CoreJan0.1%0.1%
03/01/10 10:00 AMConstruction SpendingJan-0.5%-1.2%
03/01/10 10:00 AMISM IndexFeb57.858.4
03/02/10 2:00 PMAuto SalesFebNA3.8M
03/02/10 2:00 PMTruck SalesFebNA4.4M
03/03/10 2:00 PMFed's Beige BookMarNANA
03/03/10 7:30 AMChallenger Job Cuts YoYFebNA-70.4%
03/03/10 8:15 AMADP Employment ChangeFeb-10K-22K
03/03/10 10:00 AMISM ServicesFeb51.050.5
03/03/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories2/26NA3.03M
03/04/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims02/27475K495K
03/04/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims02/20NA4617K
03/04/10 8:30 AMProductivity-Rev.Q46.2%6.2%
03/04/10 8:30 AMUnit Labor CostsQ4-4.4%-4.4%
03/04/10 10:00 AMFactory OrdersJan1.2%1.0%
03/04/10 10:00 AMPending Home SalesJan1.7%1.0%
03/05/10 3:00 PMConsumer CreditJan-$3.8B-$1.7B
03/05/10 8:30 AMUnemployment RateFeb9.8%9.7%
03/05/10 8:30 AMNonfarm PayrollsFeb-20K-20K
03/05/10 8:30 AMHourly EarningsFeb0.2%0.2%
03/05/10 8:30 AMAverage WorkweekFeb33.733.9

Saturday, February 20, 2010

New Home Sales

New Home Sales statistics report is published by the United States Census Bureau on monthly basis. The report covers the number of sales of newly constructed residences in the United States of America and is considered as an economical indicator of the economy's health. The new Home Sales numbers are sensitive to the consumer income. As a rule, in growing economy when the consumers average income is growing, the number of newly constructed residences sales is growing. At the same time, a reversal down in New Home Sales report could serve as an early indicator of slow down in the economy and possibility of coming depression. Furthermore, the release of New Home Sales report may have significant impact on Wall Street.

GDP Estimates

Key economic data for the forth week (last week) of February 2010 starting February 23th, 2010. There are no economic reports on Monday February 22nd, 2010. Last week FED announcement of rate increase to 0.75% did not affect the sentiment on the stock market.

Economic Calendar key:
Consensus represents the market consensus estimate for each indicator.
Prior represents the last actual for each indicator.

DateReleaseForConsensusPrior
02/23/10 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexDec-3.1%-5.3%
02/23/10 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceFeb55.055.9
02/24/10 10:00 AMNew Home SalesJan355K342K
02/24/10 10:30 AMCrude Inventories2/19NA3.08M
02/25/10 8:30 AMInitial Claims02/20460K473K
02/25/10 8:30 AMContinuing Claims02/134570K4563K
02/25/10 8:30 AMDurable OrdersJan1.5%0.3%
02/25/10 10:00 AMFHFA Housing Price IndexDecNA0.7&
02/26/10 8:30 AMGDP - Second EstimateQ45.7%5.7%
02/26/10 8:30 AMGDP Deflator - Second EstimateQ40.6%0.6%
02/26/10 9:45 AMChicago PMIFeb59.061.5
02/26/10 9:55 AMU Michigan Consumer Sentiment - FinalFeb74.073.7
02/26/10 10:00 AMExisting Home SalesJan5.50M5.45M